Chasing a flush on the web – Occasionally the numbers just do not add up!

There is an age old debate in poker – ought to you chase a flush? Initially of all we must define what we imply here by "chasing a flush on line."

Chasing anything in Hold em poker may be the practice of betting to stay in a hands in the hope that you will generate a far better hands, even even though you may have absolutely nothing in the time. So chasing a flush means gambling which you will get the card or card that you just should complete your flush hand about the turn or river. You can’t chase a flush prior to the flop because at that time you only have 2 cards so the flush is not on.

So let’s say you happen to be betting one of the large poker web sites on the internet, you’ve been dealt the Ace and nine of spades and you’ve paid to see the flop.

The flop is twos seven-s Kd and one of your competitors comes out betting strongly with a fair sized increase, what do you do?

1st of all ask yourself what type of palm you happen to be up against. The possibilities are triples, yet another flush draw, a pair of Kings or a total bluff, so as it stands you are only winning towards the bluff with your Ace. About the other hand when you hit a spade in the last 2 cards you’ve got the nut flush and could only lose to a full house or four of a kind.

On the face of it you may well assume that statistically you might have about a 50-50 chance of hitting your spade, after all there is two cards to arrive and four suits so there must be about a half opportunity, appropriate?


You already have two of the spades in your hands and there is a different 2 showing to the table, so you know five cards and four of them are spades. That signifies you’ve 9 spades left offered out of the 47 cards you haven’t seen, which is only a forty two per-cent chance of catching your flush.

Should you do wager around the turn and don’t make your flush, what do you do then? You’ve got probably now turn out to be pot-committed, you’ve got put so a lot into the pot that you simply may well as well wager again to the river unless there is a huge raise or all-in in opposition to you, except now your odds of generating the flush have dropped dramatically to only twenty one per-cent.

Except what of that other factor, the mysterious world wide web poker syndrome? What I mean by which is while you statistically have a forty two % opportunity of creating a flush, is that what really happens in reality? In case you wagered the same palm in the same internet based poker table 100 times would you have a flush forty two instances? From my personal understanding I doubt it. Flushes seem to arrive around a good deal less frequently than 42 out of one hundred occasions!

That’s just my own opinion and I am certain the poker web sites would tell you a unique story, except the way I see it is forty two % is the incredibly Best you’re ever going to receive and you may possibly well have a whole lot much less chance than that of hitting your flush.

Bottom line? Chasing a flush on-line is a incredibly risky system that sucks you in and over commits you, without giving you enough of a opportunity of pulling out the succeeding hand.